Investment analysis / Developers & lenders

Model project value and risk.

Real estate development and investment in New York City face uncertain outcomes shaped by market, location, design, policy, and financial conditions. Meridian models that uncertainty to show how each factor influences project value.

Meridian Urban Metrics map interface: Manhattan building footprints shaded by built floor-area ratio, with the layer legend open

01 / Decisions

Evaluate projects with evidence.

Use Meridian's verified model to make better development decisions, communicate the investment case, and quantify potential risks.

Project evaluation model
01Site & market
02Program & cost
03Schedule & approvals
04Financing & exit
Integrated analysisProject outcome
SupportedSensitiveUnresolved

For lenders

Review what the borrower is asking you to believe and identify where the deal needs stronger evidence.

  • Evaluate assumptions independently
  • Compare the project with relevant outcomes
  • Understand downside conditions and execution risk

For developers

Test the site, program, market, and capital plan before committing more time and money.

  • Compare sites and development programs
  • Test demand, cost, schedule, and exit scenarios
  • Build a documented case for partners and funders

02 / Analysis

Measure what has to go right.

Meridian separates the project into the factors that drive performance, tests them individually, and shows how they interact.

01

Market demand

Compare rents, absorption, customer demand, competing projects, and neighborhood conditions.

02

Development plan

Evaluate the site, program, density, construction cost, operating assumptions, and design strategy.

03

Delivery

Model schedule, approvals, team capacity, political conditions, and the dependencies that affect execution.

04

Capital and exit

Test financing, valuation, hold period, and exit assumptions across different market conditions.

Project assumptions
Market evidence
Historical outcomes
⊕Documented model
Clearer project decisions

03 / Research

Build a record of development outcomes.

Each project can contribute to a clearer understanding of how development performs across time, locations, and market conditions.

01

Learn from your own projects

Organize past assumptions and actual results into a useful dataset. See where forecasts were accurate, where projects missed, and which conditions shaped the outcome.

02

Understand the wider city

Meridian is building a 25-year model of business and real estate performance in New York City to connect individual projects with market cycles, policy, and neighborhood change.

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Projects become evidence for the next decision.

Start with a project

Bring us the deal you are evaluating.

We can start with a site, a development proposal, a loan opportunity, or a question about your existing portfolio.

Book a discovery call ↗

Project inquiry

Tell me what you are working on.

Share the project, decision, or business problem you want to discuss. I will follow up with the most useful next step.